Hugh Bowman is a visitor to Melbourne but in Polanski he has the best hometown chance in the Victoria Derby.
And the Sydney hoop is so confident that he has queried if the betting is right for Saturday's classic at Flemington.
Polanski will be looking for a hat-trick of wins after taking out the Super Impose Stakes at Flemington, followed by a strong effort in the Norman Robinson at Caulfield, in which he ran down San Diego. ''He was good over 2000 metres, and he is just big and strong, with a great trainer of stayers in Robbie Laing,'' Bowman said.
''I was able to book myself on him straight away [after Caulfield], and it is very exciting to get on a live chance.''
Bowman is no stranger to success in the Victoria Derby, winning on Lion Tamer and Sangster in successive years in 2010 and 2011. He got the ride on Polanski for the Norman Robinson, and has little doubt about his staying potential.
All of which means the $8.50 on offer at Sportingbet might be generous, with Bowman believing there is not much between the Sydney and Melbourne form.
''It is hard to line up the form but I think the Sydney form might be suspect,'' Bowman said. ''The way Drago went [on Saturday], but also you had Savvy Nature come out and win. I actually think they're all pretty even, and I know my bloke is a last-start winner and can stay.''
Punters, though, have taken a different view, with Spring Champion Stakes winner Complacent the $4 favourite in front of Savvy Nature at $4.20, while Criterion is at $8.
''They have only wanted to back two horses since Saturday and, surprisingly, it has been Complacent that most money has been for - and he didn't even run [on Saturday],'' Sportingbet boss Michael Sullivan said.
''Savvy Nature ran third to Complacent in the Spring Champion, and came out and didn't handle the Valley and still won. So he went from $7.50 to $4.20, and has been solid at that quote.
''Complacent has been $4.50 to $4 since Saturday, and they are really the only two horses we are writing tickets for. The punters … have dismissed the Melbourne form. Polanski is $8.50 but we can't write his name.''